MTSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTSI - MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc
$322.26
-28.37 (-8.09%)
▼
5d:
-17.41%
30d:
-15.72%
90d:
+40.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
Get Alerted When MTSI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTSI is down 17.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTSI is down 17.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$333.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$206.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTSI is currently trading at $322.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $355.04 to $392.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 47.1) is in line with its historical norms (46.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTSI is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $312.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $403.00 (+25.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTSI is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $312.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $403.00 (+25.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$355.04 -
$392.26
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MTSI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.1% below Wall St target ($403.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$355.04 -
$392.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$312.86
Resistance Level
$401.69
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.08
Wall Street Target
$403.00
(+25.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.9%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
47.1 vs 46.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$324.19
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$326.14
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$328.10
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→46)
PE COMPRESSION
$321.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.1, Growth: 36.2%)
$814.27
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 36.2%)
$376.69
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 36.2%)
$320.19
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 51.28 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.28
Bull Case
$389.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$322.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 51.3
Bear Case
$246.53
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 46.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MTSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-27
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Robert Dennehy
SELL
18398 shares
2026-02-26
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$524 | 54 HOLD |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$299 | 58 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$243 | 51 HOLD |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$307 | 55 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$500 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced MTSI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MTSI price and gamma walls.
