MTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$240.48
-4.60 (-1.88%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: MTZ shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 10th percentile) and market pricing in only 3.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: MTZ shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 10th percentile) and market pricing in only 3.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$396.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$246.43
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $240.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $222.85 to $242.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.1) compared to its historical average (27.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $235.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $235.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$222.85 -
$242.73
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($256.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$222.85 -
$242.73
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.29
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$235.50
Resistance Level
$250.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.06
Wall Street Target
$256.00
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.6%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
30.1 vs 27.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$253.17
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$261.52
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$270.15
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$245.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.1, Growth: 26.9%)
$501.21
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 26.9%)
$371.78
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 26.9%)
$316.02
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 29.94 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.03
Bull Case
$290.38
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$240.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$183.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
C Robert Campbell
SELL
2000 shares
2025-09-29
Robert E Apple
SELL
10000 shares
2025-09-18
C Robert Campbell
SELL
3000 shares
2025-09-11
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Advanced MTZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MTZ price and gamma walls.
