MTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$306.47
-9.54 (-3.02%)
▼
5d:
-1.34%
30d:
+2.84%
90d:
+36.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$518.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$322.15
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $306.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $282.65 to $311.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.6) is in line with its historical norms (28.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $294.19, while resistance sits at $328.69. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $294.19, while resistance sits at $328.69. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$282.65 -
$311.22
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($337.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$282.65 -
$311.22
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$294.19
Resistance Level
$328.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.65
Wall Street Target
$337.53
(+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.8%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
29.7 vs 28.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$318.54
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$321.09
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$323.66
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$315.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.7, Growth: 25.3%)
$621.15
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.3%)
$469.23
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 25.3%)
$398.84
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.04
Bull Case
$375.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.1
Base Case
$310.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$237.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ernst N Csiszar
SELL
6500 shares
2026-03-03
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2026-02-04
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2025-12-18
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