MXL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MXL - MaxLinear, Inc. Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$92.34
3.56 (4.01%) ▲
5d: -7.5%
30d: +295.46%
90d: +372.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your MXL Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

MXL is down 7.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $120 2026-06-18 with 4,041 OI. Call ratio: 78% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MXL is 10.9% above its trading range ($83.23). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.73
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MXL is currently trading at $92.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.12 to $83.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 49.4) compared to its historical average (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 29.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.40, while resistance sits at $104.27. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: MXL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $49.45. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $24.12 - $83.23
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation MODERATE
Confidence Score 46.2%

Protect Your Profits

MXL is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.9% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 46.4% above Wall St target ($49.45)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 29.2% growth with 43.0% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.5%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.12 - $83.23
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $76.40
Resistance Level $104.27
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 49.43
Wall Street Target $49.45 (-46.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 43.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -71.4%
Profit Margin -26.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +29.2% premium
PE vs Historical 49.4 vs 22.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +29.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $119.30 (+29%)
2-Year Target $154.14 (+67%)
3-Year Target $199.15 (+116%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 49→23) PE COMPRESSION $92.27 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 49.4, Growth: 39.8%) $252.37 (+173%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 39.8%) $112.69 (+22%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 39.8%) $95.79 (+4%)
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven G Litchfield SELL 20000 shares 2026-03-06
Steven G Litchfield SELL 4929 shares 2026-03-05
Steven G Litchfield SELL 20000 shares 2026-03-04

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Advanced MXL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MXL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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