MXL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MXL - MaxLinear, Inc. Common Stock
$93.12
-19.27 (-17.15%)
▼
5d:
-1.43%
30d:
+4.91%
90d:
+426.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
17d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MXL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 20.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MXL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 20.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MXL is currently trading at $93.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.73 to $103.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 49.6) compared to its historical average (28.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $82.21, while resistance sits at $128.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MXL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $68.36. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $82.21, while resistance sits at $128.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MXL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $68.36. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$79.73 -
$103.03
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-17.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 26.6% above Wall St target ($68.36)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 20.0% growth with 43.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.73 -
$103.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.21
Resistance Level
$128.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.65
Wall Street Target
$68.36
(-26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.4%
Profit Margin
-26.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.0% premium
PE vs Historical
49.7 vs 28.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.74
(+20%)
2-Year Target
$134.09
(+44%)
3-Year Target
$160.91
(+73%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 50→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 49.7, Growth: 40.2%)
$256.71
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.2%)
$112.60
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 40.2%)
$95.71
(+3%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MXL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
4929 shares
2026-03-05
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced MXL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MXL price and gamma walls.
