MZTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MZTI - The Marzetti Company Common Stock
$115.79
-0.36 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
+3.01%
30d:
+6.4%
90d:
-16.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MZTI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MZTI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.51
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MZTI is currently trading at $115.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.38 to $114.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MZTI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.40 (+37.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MZTI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.40 (+37.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$107.38 -
$114.14
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.7% below Wall St target ($159.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.38 -
$114.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.80
Resistance Level
$115.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.04
Wall Street Target
$159.40
(+37.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.4%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 19.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.54
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$103.62
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$98.03
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$116.10
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.6%)
$190.53
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 6.6%)
$140.33
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 6.6%)
$119.28
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.40
Bull Case
$144.09
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.8%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$131.00
(+13%)
Market implied 12.8%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$78.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$137.14
(+18.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MZTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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