NAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NAT - Nordic American Tanker
$5.81
0.25 (4.50%)
▲
5d:
-7.19%
30d:
+10.88%
90d:
+1.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NAT is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NAT is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.88
Based on -26.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $5.81, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.15 to $5.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$5.15 -
$5.95
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.15 -
$5.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.02
Resistance Level
$5.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.69
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
104.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
990.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.05
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$6.31
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$6.57
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -56.9%)
$4.68
(+-19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: -56.9%)
$4.24
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: -56.9%)
$3.60
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$6.94
(+19%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$6.31
(+9%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$3.78
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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