NAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NAT - Nordic American Tanker
$5.51
-0.09 (-1.61%)
▼
5d:
-5.97%
30d:
-6.45%
90d:
+23.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
19d
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1 traders called NAT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NAT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NAT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.90
Based on -26.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $5.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.60 to $5.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.60 -
$5.96
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.60 -
$5.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.46
Resistance Level
$6.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.49
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1297.6%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.55
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$5.59
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$5.63
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -57.4%)
$5.06
(+-8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: -57.4%)
$4.02
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: -57.4%)
$3.41
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.39
Bull Case
$6.65
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$5.51
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$4.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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