NATR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NATR - Nature's Sunshine Products Inc.
$21.47
-0.48 (-2.19%)
▼
5d:
+3.87%
30d:
+3.02%
90d:
-12.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NATR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NATR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.84
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.50
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NATR is currently trading at $21.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.02 to $21.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NATR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.43, while resistance sits at $22.50.
Market Sentiment: NATR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+63.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NATR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.43, while resistance sits at $22.50.
Market Sentiment: NATR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+63.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.02 -
$21.46
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.0% below Wall St target ($35.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.02 -
$21.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.43
Resistance Level
$22.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.77
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+63.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 21.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.88
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$18.41
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$17.05
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$21.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 0.0%)
$27.88
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 0.0%)
$21.47
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 0.0%)
$18.25
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$28.10
(+31%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$25.54
(+19%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$14.93
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$27.01
(+25.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NATR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bryant J Yates
SELL
19516 shares
2026-03-13
Daniel C Norman
SELL
15383 shares
2026-03-13
Jonathan David Lanoy
SELL
4000 shares
2026-03-13
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