NBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NBR - Nabors Industries Ltd.
$105.27
1.60 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
+8.08%
30d:
+28.0%
90d:
+54.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NBR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NBR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.06
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NBR is currently trading at $105.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.70 to $101.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 94.4) is in line with its historical norms (90.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$82.70 -
$101.52
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($105.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.70 -
$101.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$94.17
Resistance Level
$105.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
94.41
Wall Street Target
$105.38
(+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
94.4 vs 90.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.74
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$108.24
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$109.75
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 94→91)
PE COMPRESSION
$105.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.67
Bull Case
$57.02
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case
$51.84
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case
$70.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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