NDSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NDSN - Nordson Corp

GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT, NEC
$280.28
1.35 (0.48%) ▲
5d: -1.36%
30d: +1.92%
90d: -4.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NDSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$366.23
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$227.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NDSN is currently trading at $280.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $274.46 to $285.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NDSN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $277.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.50 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $274.46 - $285.13
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($310.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $274.46 - $285.13
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $277.96
Resistance Level $290.02
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.72
Wall Street Target $310.50 (+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 44.2%
Profit Margin 18.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 22.7 vs 22.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $281.96 (+1%)
2-Year Target $283.65 (+1%)
3-Year Target $285.36 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→22) PE COMPRESSION $280.05 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.7, Growth: 7.8%) $350.69 (+25%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.8%) $340.16 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 7.8%) $289.14 (+3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.23
Bull Case $410.04 (+46%)
Analyst growth 33.6%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case $372.77 (+33%)
Market implied 33.6%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case $189.67 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Srinivas Subramanian SELL 3100 shares 2026-04-17
Justin E Hall SELL 716 shares 2026-04-08
Joseph P Kelley SELL 8725 shares 2026-02-24

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