NEWT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEWT - NewtekOne, Inc. Common Stock
$14.27
0.60 (4.39%)
▲
5d:
+8.77%
30d:
+18.23%
90d:
+2.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NEWT is 7.1% above its trading range ($13.33). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NEWT is 7.1% above its trading range ($13.33). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.02
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEWT is currently trading at $14.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.78 to $13.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (5.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEWT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEWT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+15.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEWT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEWT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+15.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.78 -
$13.33
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Extended 7.1% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.78 -
$13.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.35
Resistance Level
$14.13
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.66
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 5.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.74
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.23
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$15.73
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.17
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.0%)
$64.00
(+349%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 5.0%)
$16.52
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 5.0%)
$14.04
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.18
Bull Case
$17.38
(+22%)
Analyst growth 15.6%, PE expands to 6.9
Base Case
$15.80
(+11%)
Market implied 15.6%, PE stable at 6.3
Bear Case
$9.30
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 09, 2026 6:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEWT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Frank M Demaria
BUY
1556 shares
2026-01-14
Halli Razon-Feingold
BUY
1258 shares
2026-01-14
Michael Adam Schwartz
BUY
2247 shares
2026-01-14
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