NGL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGL - NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP
$15.19
-0.53 (-3.37%)
▼
5d:
-5.12%
30d:
-8.11%
90d:
+21.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When NGL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NGL trades at premium valuation expecting 4.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NGL trades at premium valuation expecting 4.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.96
4.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $15.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.57 to $16.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.5) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NGL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NGL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.57 -
$16.69
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 67.1% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with -13.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.57 -
$16.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.12
Resistance Level
$17.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.52
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-67.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.1%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 16.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.90
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$16.65
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$17.43
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 141.2%)
$60.28
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 141.2%)
$51.27
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 141.2%)
$43.58
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Midstream by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LNG
Cheniere Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$303 | 58 HOLD |
|
TRGP
Targa Resources Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$286 | 55 HOLD |
|
ET
Energy Transfer LP |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$24 | 61 BUY |
|
VNOM
Viper Energy Ut |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$58 | 58 HOLD |
|
TRP
TC Energy Corp |
BUY
23 analysts |
$61 | 55 HOLD |
