NGL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGL - NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP
$17.84
0.37 (2.12%)
▲
5d:
+9.25%
30d:
+36.08%
90d:
+48.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
18d
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1 traders called NGL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NGL is 8.6% above its trading range ($16.43). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NGL is 8.6% above its trading range ($16.43). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $17.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.31 to $16.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.8) compared to its historical average (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NGL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NGL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.31 -
$16.43
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 72.0% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.8% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.31 -
$16.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.21
Resistance Level
$17.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.76
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-72.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.1%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.8% premium
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 14.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.30
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$23.10
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$26.29
(+47%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 141.2%)
$61.08
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 141.2%)
$60.21
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 141.2%)
$40.96
(+130%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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