NICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$96.74
1.91 (2.01%)
▲
5d:
+10.43%
30d:
-0.32%
90d:
-12.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NICE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NICE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.81
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.20
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $96.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.39 to $94.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $85.71, while resistance sits at $101.75.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.43 (+35.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $85.71, while resistance sits at $101.75.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.43 (+35.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$86.39 -
$94.51
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.9% below Wall St target ($131.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.39 -
$94.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.71
Resistance Level
$101.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.66
Wall Street Target
$131.43
(+35.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.7%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.77
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$88.97
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$85.32
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$96.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$405.75
(+319%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 13.8%)
$142.74
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$121.33
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.43
Bull Case
$156.24
(+62%)
Analyst growth 49.8%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$142.03
(+47%)
Market implied 49.8%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$64.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$109.85
(+13.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 8:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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