NICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$87.94
1.56 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
-8.05%
30d:
-13.78%
90d:
-16.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.46
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.19
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $87.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.21 to $112.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $84.38, while resistance sits at $126.50.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.86 (+51.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $84.38, while resistance sits at $126.50.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.86 (+51.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$94.21 -
$112.02
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.1% below Wall St target ($132.86)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.21 -
$112.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.38
Resistance Level
$126.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.96
Wall Street Target
$132.86
(+51.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.7%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 9.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.03
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$72.82
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$66.27
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$87.53
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$410.59
(+367%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$129.75
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$110.29
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.43
Bull Case
$145.58
(+66%)
Analyst growth 49.8%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$132.34
(+51%)
Market implied 49.8%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$60.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$116.16
(+32.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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