NNN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NNN - NNN REIT, Inc.
$42.13
0.24 (0.57%)
▲
5d:
-0.54%
30d:
-8.07%
90d:
+6.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NNN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NNN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.79
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.91
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NNN is currently trading at $42.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.84 to $45.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$42.84 -
$45.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.23)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.84 -
$45.48
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.63
Resistance Level
$45.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.75
Wall Street Target
$45.23
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Profit Margin
42.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.30
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$40.73
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$40.16
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$41.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 1.3%)
$49.27
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 1.3%)
$43.54
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 1.3%)
$37.01
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$47.86
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.5%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$43.51
(+2%)
Market implied 2.5%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$28.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$43.69
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NNN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen A Horn Jr
SELL
33192 shares
2026-03-09
Jonathan Adamo
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-06
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