NNN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NNN - NNN REIT, Inc.
$41.67
-0.15 (-0.36%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NNN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NNN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.53
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NNN is currently trading at $41.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.83 to $42.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$39.83 -
$42.22
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($44.35)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with 5.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.83 -
$42.22
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.93
Resistance Level
$42.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.70
Wall Street Target
$44.35
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Profit Margin
43.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$42.49
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$42.83
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.2%)
$48.05
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 2.2%)
$44.60
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 2.2%)
$37.91
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$44.20
(+6%)
Analyst growth -2.9%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$40.18
(-4%)
Market implied -2.9%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$28.13
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NNN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-08-13
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