NOK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOK - Nokia Corporation
$6.69
0.03 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
-3.6%
30d:
+2.76%
90d:
-3.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NOK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NOK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.03
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.85
2.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $6.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.41 to $6.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.06, while resistance sits at $7.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.06, while resistance sits at $7.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$6.41 -
$6.73
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.41 -
$6.73
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.06
Resistance Level
$7.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.86
Wall Street Target
$6.75
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.2%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.51
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$6.33
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$6.16
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$6.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$13.79
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$9.81
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 13.6%)
$8.34
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.38
Bull Case
$8.08
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$6.69
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$5.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$7.25
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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