NOVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOVT - Novanta Inc. Common Stock
$161.72
-1.98 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+0.8%
30d:
-4.07%
90d:
+36.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOVT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOVT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.00
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOVT is currently trading at $161.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.98 to $164.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 39.0) compared to its historical average (34.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $148.98, while resistance sits at $166.71.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $148.98, while resistance sits at $166.71.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$154.98 -
$164.07
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($175.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with 10.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$154.98 -
$164.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$12.43
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$148.98
Resistance Level
$166.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.03
Wall Street Target
$175.00
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.4%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
39.0 vs 34.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.51
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$175.59
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$182.96
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$161.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.0, Growth: 15.4%)
$248.61
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$138.73
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$117.92
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 8.39 | Forward EPS (Implied): $19.28
Bull Case
$195.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$161.72
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$123.72
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matthijs Glastra
SELL
6500 shares
2026-04-17
Robert Buckley
SELL
9957 shares
2026-03-16
Robert Buckley
SELL
1423 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced NOVT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NOVT price and gamma walls.
