NPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NPO - Enpro Inc.

GASKETS, PACKG & SEALG DEVICES & RUBBER & PLASTICS HOSE
$287.98
-5.14 (-1.75%) ▼
5d: +2.12%
30d: +16.37%
90d: +20.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 5d
Smart Money Distribution

NPO is up 3.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $220 2026-06-18 with 1 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$378.23
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$234.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NPO is currently trading at $287.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $252.97 to $285.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.6) is in line with its historical norms (26.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $260.89, while resistance sits at $300.67.

Market Sentiment: NPO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $252.97 - $285.25
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($300.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $252.97 - $285.25
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$18.01 (6.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $260.89
Resistance Level $300.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.56
Wall Street Target $300.00 (+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Profit Margin 3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium
PE vs Historical 28.6 vs 26.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $295.76 (+3%)
2-Year Target $303.74 (+6%)
3-Year Target $311.94 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→26) PE COMPRESSION $288.35 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.6, Growth: 13.0%) $415.98 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 13.0%) $300.19 (+4%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: 13.0%) $255.16 (-11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.70
Bull Case $347.74 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case $287.98 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case $220.30 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: April 29, 2026 2:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven R Bower SELL 507 shares 2026-03-02
John Humphrey SELL 1300 shares 2026-02-25
Robert Savage Mclean SELL 2000 shares 2026-02-24

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Advanced NPO Option Strategies

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