NRDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NRDS - NerdWallet, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.06
-0.34 (-2.74%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
Smart Money Accumulation
NRDS is down 5.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-03-20 with 1,990 OI. Call ratio: 78% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NRDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NRDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.44
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.79
23.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NRDS is currently trading at $12.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.63 to $13.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26862.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRDS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NRDS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.17 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRDS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NRDS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.17 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$12.63 -
$13.78
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
53th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NRDS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 53th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($16.17)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.63 -
$13.78
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.30
(10.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.11
Resistance Level
$13.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.37
Wall Street Target
$16.17
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26862.7%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.02
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$11.64
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$11.28
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$12.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.0%)
$61.48
(+396%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 23.0%)
$23.09
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 23.0%)
$19.62
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$21.19
(+76%)
Analyst growth 57.5%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$19.27
(+60%)
Market implied 57.5%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$8.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$13.62
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NRDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicholas Tatum
SELL
4272 shares
2025-10-02
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Advanced NRDS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NRDS price and gamma walls.
