NSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSA - National Storage Affiliates Trust
$41.02
-1.51 (-3.55%)
▼
5d:
-6.07%
30d:
-2.82%
90d:
+22.56%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
NSA is up 4.9% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $35 2026-06-18 with 10 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NSA trades at premium valuation expecting 9.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NSA trades at premium valuation expecting 9.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.95
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSA is currently trading at $41.02, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.01 to $43.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 112.8) compared to its historical average (85.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$41.01 -
$43.47
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NSA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($39.78)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.8% growth expectation is conservative given 237% recent growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.01 -
$43.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.67
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.41
Resistance Level
$43.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
112.78
Wall Street Target
$39.78
(-6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
236.6%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.8% premium
PE vs Historical
112.8 vs 85.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.70
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$51.27
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$56.30
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 113→85)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 112.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$60.45
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$11.81
(-72%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 12.4%)
$10.04
(-76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 56.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$23.57
(-45%)
Analyst growth -49.7%, PE expands to 62.5
Base Case
$21.43
(-50%)
Market implied -49.7%, PE stable at 56.8
Bear Case
$28.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 48.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NSA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSA price and gamma walls.
