NTGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTGR - NETGEAR, Inc.
$21.49
-0.08 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
+4.22%
90d:
-12.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
NTGR is up 3.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 4,006 OI. Put ratio: 70% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.74
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTGR is currently trading at $21.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.36 to $22.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.6) compared to its historical average (68.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTGR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.68, while resistance sits at $26.15.
Market Sentiment: NTGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.67 (+70.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTGR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.68, while resistance sits at $26.15.
Market Sentiment: NTGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.67 (+70.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$20.36 -
$22.05
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.6% below Wall St target ($36.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.36 -
$22.05
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.68
Resistance Level
$26.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.63
Wall Street Target
$36.67
(+70.6%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.7%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.6 vs 68.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.34
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→69)
$29.30
(+36%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.6, Growth: 410.2%)
$72.53
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 410.2%)
$44.26
(+106%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 410.2%)
$37.62
(+75%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.6 to 68.5
Stabilization Target:
$40.19
(+87.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+87.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Pramod Badjate
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-02
Pramod Badjate
SELL
4000 shares
2025-11-19
Graeme Mclindin
SELL
1205 shares
2025-11-03
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Advanced NTGR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTGR price and gamma walls.
