NUE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NUE - Nucor Corporation
$164.75
1.38 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
+2.57%
30d:
-6.86%
90d:
-0.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
27d
Smart Money Distribution
NUE is up 3.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $170 2026-06-18 with 2,689 OI. Put ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NUE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 34% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NUE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 34% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$248.24
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$154.13
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $164.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.34 to $178.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $167.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NUE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.92 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $167.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NUE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.92 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$163.34 -
$178.59
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($187.92)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$163.34 -
$178.59
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$155.14
Resistance Level
$167.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.05
Wall Street Target
$187.92
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.2%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$158.32
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$152.15
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$146.22
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$165.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.9%)
$383.51
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 7.9%)
$206.69
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 7.9%)
$175.69
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.52
Bull Case
$314.97
(+96%)
Analyst growth 80.6%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$286.34
(+78%)
Market implied 80.6%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$107.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$186.01
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth Rex Query
SELL
7452 shares
2026-02-11
Allen C Behr
SELL
7568 shares
2026-02-03
Allen C Behr
SELL
7500 shares
2026-02-02
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