NUE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NUE - Nucor Corporation
$172.46
-1.26 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
+3.89%
30d:
-2.05%
90d:
+5.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
20d
Smart Money Distribution
NUE is up 3.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $170 2026-06-18 with 2,689 OI. Put ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NUE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NUE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$246.41
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.00
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $172.46, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $162.62 to $175.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $175.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NUE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $175.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NUE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$162.62 -
$175.21
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($188.23)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$162.62 -
$175.21
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$157.84
Resistance Level
$175.28
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.61
Wall Street Target
$188.23
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.2%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.49
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$164.62
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$160.83
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$172.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 7.9%)
$352.97
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 7.9%)
$216.37
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 7.9%)
$183.91
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.52
Bull Case
$314.97
(+96%)
Analyst growth 80.6%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$286.34
(+78%)
Market implied 80.6%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$107.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$184.64
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 11:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth Rex Query
SELL
7452 shares
2026-02-11
Allen C Behr
SELL
7568 shares
2026-02-03
Allen C Behr
SELL
7500 shares
2026-02-02
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Advanced NUE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NUE price and gamma walls.
