NVGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$23.68
0.41 (1.76%)
▲
5d:
+3.54%
30d:
+17.52%
90d:
+26.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 25, 2026
9d
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1 traders called NVGS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NVGS trades at premium valuation expecting 7.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NVGS trades at premium valuation expecting 7.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.79
Based on -3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $23.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.08 to $22.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NVGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NVGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.08 -
$22.60
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.08 -
$22.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.43
Resistance Level
$23.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.92
Wall Street Target
$24.75
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.6%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 11.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.48
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$27.42
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$29.50
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -11.1%)
$27.34
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: -11.1%)
$17.26
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: -11.1%)
$13.89
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$26.89
(+14%)
Analyst growth 5.0%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$24.44
(+3%)
Market implied 5.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$15.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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