NWL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NWL - Newell Brands Inc.

PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC
$3.84
-0.11 (-2.78%) β–Ό
5d: -15.42%
30d: -9.65%
90d: -18.3%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

NWL is down 15.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-06-18 with 10,776 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NWL is down 15.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.75
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.19
8.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NWL is currently trading at $3.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.85 to $4.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NWL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $3.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.00 (+30.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $3.85 - $4.41
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($5.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.85 - $4.41
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.75
Resistance Level $4.75
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.75
Wall Street Target $5.00 (+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Profit Margin -3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.8 vs 6.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.70 (-4%)
2-Year Target $3.56 (-7%)
3-Year Target $3.43 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6β†’6) $3.82 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.3%) $22.58 (+488%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 15.3%) $5.89 (+53%)
Bear: (PE: 4.9, Growth: 15.3%) $5.00 (+30%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.4
Stabilization Target: $4.27 (+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.3%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NWL Option Strategies

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