O Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
O - Realty Income Corporation
$61.15
0.46 (0.76%)
▲
5d:
+0.49%
30d:
-8.73%
90d:
+7.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
O is down 4.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 5,615 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: O shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: O shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.03
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.03
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: O is currently trading at $61.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.85 to $66.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.6) is in line with its historical norms (37.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, O is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: O has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.85 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, O is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: O has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.85 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$61.85 -
$66.52
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding O? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.85)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$61.85 -
$66.52
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.85
Resistance Level
$65.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.57
Wall Street Target
$67.85
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.2%
Profit Margin
18.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.6 vs 37.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$57.69
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$56.25
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→37)
$60.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.6, Growth: 7.5%)
$75.40
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.5%)
$48.86
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.5%)
$41.53
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.60
Bull Case
$73.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$60.85
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.0
Bear Case
$46.55
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.6 to 37.3
Stabilization Target:
$65.49
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is O showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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