ODD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ODD - ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
$17.90
0.89 (5.23%) β–²
5d: +36.23%
30d: +81.91%
90d: +33.58%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 29d
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ODD is 23.3% above its trading range ($14.52). Market expects 13.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.76
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ODD is currently trading at $17.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.41 to $14.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ODD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.25. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.41 - $14.52
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 35.7%

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ODD is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+23.3% above its trading range)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 42.7% above Wall St target ($10.25)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 13.5% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.41 - $14.52
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.25
Resistance Level $14.41
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.89
Wall Street Target $10.25 (-42.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -26.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Profit Margin 7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +13.5% premium
PE vs Historical 17.9 vs 12.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +13.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.32 (+14%)
2-Year Target $23.06 (+29%)
3-Year Target $26.17 (+46%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18β†’12) PE COMPRESSION $17.85 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 1693.2%) $73.55 (+311%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 1693.2%) $60.41 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 1693.2%) $41.20 (+130%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case $23.70 (+32%)
Analyst growth 26.7%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case $21.54 (+20%)
Market implied 26.7%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case $11.57 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mann Lindsay Drucker SELL 9604 shares 2026-03-31

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