ODD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ODD - ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
$12.65
0.11 (0.88%) β–²
5d: -14.47%
30d: -15.61%
90d: -54.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

ODD is down 14.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-07-17 with 901 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ODD is down 14.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.53
38.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ODD is currently trading at $12.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.72 to $15.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ODD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.33 (+37.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $13.72 - $15.61
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 37.0% below Wall St target ($17.33)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.72 - $15.61
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.30
Resistance Level $15.81
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.31
Wall Street Target $17.33 (+37.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Profit Margin 13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.3 vs 12.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.47 (-9%)
2-Year Target $10.41 (-18%)
3-Year Target $9.44 (-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’13) $12.67 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 93.4%) $101.19 (+700%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 93.4%) $42.69 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: 93.4%) $36.29 (+187%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case $10.41 (-18%)
Analyst growth -24.5%, PE expands to 7.7
Base Case $9.46 (-25%)
Market implied -24.5%, PE stable at 7.0
Bear Case $8.53 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 12.5
Stabilization Target: $16.98 (+34.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +34.2%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mann Lindsay Drucker SELL 9604 shares 2026-03-31

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Advanced ODD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ODD price and gamma walls.

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