OHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OHI - Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.
$47.33
-0.60 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
+0.3%
30d:
+1.61%
90d:
-0.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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1 traders called OHI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: OHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.42
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OHI is currently trading at $47.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.62 to $47.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.62 -
$47.24
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.62 -
$47.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.34
Resistance Level
$48.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.92
Wall Street Target
$49.81
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Profit Margin
51.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.76
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$48.19
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$48.62
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 2.8%)
$51.35
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 2.8%)
$49.45
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 2.8%)
$42.03
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$52.59
(+11%)
Analyst growth -0.2%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$47.81
(+1%)
Market implied -0.2%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$32.59
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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