Is OMER stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, OMER is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: OMER shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of OMER stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for OMER to be between $10.61 and $11.86. The current price is $9.81.

What is the analyst price target for OMER?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for OMER is $38.00. This implies a potential upside of 287.4% from current levels.

OMER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OMER - Omeros Corporation

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

$9.81

-0.07 (-0.71%) ▼

5d: -7.97%

30d: -18.59%

90d: -37.56%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your OMER Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Mar 31, 2026 TODAY

Smart Money Accumulation

OMER is down 6.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $11 2026-05-15 with 1,820 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OMER shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$17.05

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$10.59

7.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OMER is currently trading at $9.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.61 to $11.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (114.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 43.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OMER is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: OMER has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+287.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $10.61 - $11.86

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 36th percentile (NORMAL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.6%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 287.4% below Wall St target ($38.00)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.0%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.61 - $11.86

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.32 (13.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.77

Resistance Level $11.44

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.16

Wall Street Target $38.00 (+287.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -43.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 20.2 vs 114.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -43.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $8.83 (-10%)

2-Year Target $7.95 (-19%)

3-Year Target $7.15 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→114) $40.59 (+314%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 114.4

Stabilization Target: $55.68 (+467.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +467.6%

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

David J Borges SELL 30000 shares 2026-01-13

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Advanced OMER Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OMER price and gamma walls.

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