ORN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORN - Orion Group Holdings, Inc
$10.60
-0.28 (-2.57%)
▼
5d:
-3.11%
30d:
-22.8%
90d:
+1.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Get Alerted When ORN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ORN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ORN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.69
40.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORN is currently trading at $10.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.43 to $13.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (32.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.75, while resistance sits at $11.56.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.40 (+50.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.75, while resistance sits at $11.56.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.40 (+50.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$10.43 -
$13.29
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.7% below Wall St target ($16.40)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.43 -
$13.29
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.95
(9.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.75
Resistance Level
$11.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.59
Wall Street Target
$16.40
(+50.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 32.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.79
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→32)
$13.82
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 53.2%)
$44.24
(+307%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 53.2%)
$36.72
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 53.2%)
$31.21
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 28.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.38
Bull Case
$13.21
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$10.94
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$8.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 32.4
Stabilization Target:
$18.96
(+74.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ORN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Austin J Shanfelter
SELL
90000 shares
2026-03-10
Quentin P Jr. Smith
SELL
10695 shares
2026-03-10
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
BUY
29 analysts |
$580 | 38 SELL |
|
MTZ
MasTec Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$338 | 61 BUY |
|
STN
Stantec Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$94 | 58 HOLD |
|
ACM
Aecom Technology Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$128 | 51 HOLD |
|
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. |
BUY
18 analysts |
$158 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced ORN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ORN price and gamma walls.
