OSIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSIS - OSI Systems Inc
$205.63
0.23 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
-11.34%
30d:
-33.6%
90d:
-22.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OSIS is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OSIS is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$390.52
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$242.48
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $205.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $234.91 to $303.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (24.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $205.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $309.71 (+50.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $205.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $309.71 (+50.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$234.91 -
$303.72
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.8% below Wall St target ($309.71)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$234.91 -
$303.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$205.20
Resistance Level
$286.49
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.94
Wall Street Target
$309.71
(+50.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 24.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$167.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$151.24
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→24)
$205.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$335.57
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$272.78
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 9.9%)
$231.86
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.74
Bull Case
$311.04
(+51%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$282.76
(+38%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$146.78
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 24.4
Stabilization Target:
$279.35
(+36.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 11:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Deepak Chopra
SELL
20000 shares
2026-02-02
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