OXM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXM - Oxford Industries, Inc.
$37.89
-1.48 (-3.75%)
▼
5d:
-13.29%
30d:
-15.6%
90d:
-2.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OXM is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OXM is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.87
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXM is currently trading at $37.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.11 to $45.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.11 -
$45.61
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with -4.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.11 -
$45.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.02
Resistance Level
$46.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.94
Wall Street Target
$37.50
(-4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.4%
Profit Margin
-1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.09
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$42.90
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$44.79
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$95.63
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$64.73
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 18.0%)
$55.02
(+40%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Caldecot Chubb III
BUY
5000 shares
2025-12-12
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