OXSQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXSQ - Oxford Square Capital Corp.
$1.33
0.01 (0.76%)
▲
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-5.0%
90d:
-24.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXSQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXSQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.73
23.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXSQ is currently trading at $1.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.29 to $1.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.24, while resistance sits at $1.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.24, while resistance sits at $1.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$1.29 -
$1.37
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($1.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.29 -
$1.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.24
Resistance Level
$1.43
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.05
Wall Street Target
$1.75
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.9%
Profit Margin
-92.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.30
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$1.27
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$1.24
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$1.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.4%)
$10.38
(+681%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 29.4%)
$2.88
(+117%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 29.4%)
$2.45
(+84%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$1.43
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 9:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXSQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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