PAGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAGP - Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$24.56
0.44 (1.82%)
▲
5d:
+5.91%
30d:
+5.32%
90d:
+13.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
PAGP is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $24 2026-06-18 with 13,140 OI. Call ratio: 83% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAGP is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PAGP is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.05
Based on 0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAGP is currently trading at $24.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.09 to $24.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAGP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAGP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.09 -
$24.06
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAGP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($23.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.09 -
$24.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.94
Resistance Level
$24.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.96
Wall Street Target
$23.14
(-5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
150.2%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.27
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$26.01
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$26.76
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -3.2%)
$44.88
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: -3.2%)
$22.29
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: -3.2%)
$18.95
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$53.81
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$48.92
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$16.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAGP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAGP price and gamma walls.
