PBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBA - PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION
$47.65
-0.70 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
-1.47%
30d:
-1.93%
90d:
+6.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.34
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBA is currently trading at $47.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.48 to $49.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.25. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.25. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$46.48 -
$49.24
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.7% above Wall St target ($41.25)
- BEARISH: Market expects 3.1% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.48 -
$49.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.44
Resistance Level
$49.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.87
Wall Street Target
$41.25
(-14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.85
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$51.39
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$52.99
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 1.3%)
$69.49
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 1.3%)
$50.31
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 1.3%)
$42.76
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case
$85.39
(+77%)
Analyst growth 59.5%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$77.62
(+61%)
Market implied 59.5%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$33.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 3:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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