PD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PD - PagerDuty, Inc.
$8.96
0.19 (2.17%)
▲
5d:
-3.14%
30d:
+34.33%
90d:
+26.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.40
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PD is currently trading at $8.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.74 to $9.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $10.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $10.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$6.74 -
$9.14
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.74 -
$9.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.10
Resistance Level
$10.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.50
Wall Street Target
$9.14
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.74
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$8.54
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$8.33
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$8.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.2%)
$31.38
(+250%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 6.2%)
$10.74
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 6.2%)
$9.13
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$5.57
(-38%)
Analyst growth -42.3%, PE expands to 4.7
Base Case
$5.06
(-44%)
Market implied -42.3%, PE stable at 4.2
Bear Case
$5.96
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$9.67
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 8:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dan Alexandru Solomon
SELL
266667 shares
2025-12-30
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