PECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$37.39
0.58 (1.58%)
▲
5d:
+1.41%
30d:
-4.81%
90d:
+4.65%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.39
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.53
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $37.39, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.29 to $39.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 52.3) is in line with its historical norms (52.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 153.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$37.29 -
$39.26
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.08)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.29 -
$39.26
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.61
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.50
Resistance Level
$38.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.33
Wall Street Target
$41.08
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
153.3%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
52.3 vs 52.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.28
(0%)
2-Year Target
$37.17
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$37.05
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→53)
$37.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.3, Growth: 7.1%)
$45.98
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.1%)
$19.64
(-48%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.1%)
$16.69
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 41.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$32.51
(-12%)
Analyst growth -19.7%, PE expands to 45.5
Base Case
$29.55
(-20%)
Market implied -19.7%, PE stable at 41.4
Bear Case
$25.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 52.3 to 52.8
Stabilization Target:
$37.73
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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