PECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$36.39
0.16 (0.44%)
▲
5d:
+2.19%
30d:
+2.31%
90d:
+7.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.38
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $36.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.04 to $35.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 53.5) is in line with its historical norms (52.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PECO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.00 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PECO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.00 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$35.04 -
$35.89
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.04 -
$35.89
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.57
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.95
Resistance Level
$36.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
53.52
Wall Street Target
$40.00
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
107.6%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
53.5 vs 52.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$36.74
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$37.00
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 54→52)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 53.5, Growth: 11.2%)
$49.85
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.2%)
$20.77
(-43%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.2%)
$17.66
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 53.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case
$39.71
(+10%)
Analyst growth 2.6%, PE expands to 58.7
Base Case
$36.10
(0%)
Market implied 2.6%, PE stable at 53.3
Bear Case
$23.93
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 45.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 12:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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