PED Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PED - PEDEVCO Corp.
$13.98
-0.09 (-0.64%)
▼
5d:
-10.38%
30d:
-12.73%
90d:
+2233.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PED is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PED is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.23
27.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PED is currently trading at $13.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.09 to $16.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.54, while resistance sits at $17.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.54, while resistance sits at $17.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.09 -
$16.70
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.09 -
$16.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.54
Resistance Level
$17.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.48
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
118.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.3%
Profit Margin
-22.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.39
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$12.83
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$12.29
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$13.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 90.1%)
$25.24
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 90.1%)
$14.36
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 90.1%)
$12.21
(-13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$15.90
(+13.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 6:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jody D Crook
SELL
1715 shares
2025-11-24
John Douglas Schick
SELL
3333 shares
2025-11-24
Moore Clark
SELL
2916 shares
2025-11-24
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