PHAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PHAT - Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$11.33
-0.26 (-2.24%) β–Ό
5d: -12.03%
30d: +7.09%
90d: -20.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation

PHAT is down 13.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 3 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PHAT is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.20
14.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PHAT is currently trading at $11.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.80 to $12.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PHAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+109.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $10.80 - $12.64
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 109.2% below Wall St target ($23.70)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.80 - $12.64
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.25
Resistance Level $13.67
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.58
Wall Street Target $23.70 (+109.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 94.1%
Profit Margin -126.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 7.6 vs 7.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.47 (+1%)
2-Year Target $11.60 (+2%)
3-Year Target $11.74 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8β†’7) PE COMPRESSION $11.31 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 11582.0%) $104.01 (+818%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 11582.0%) $38.24 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.4, Growth: 11582.0%) $32.50 (+187%)
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Last updated: April 29, 2026 6:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Charles Breedlove SELL 524 shares 2025-11-03

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Advanced PHAT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PHAT price and gamma walls.

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