PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$54.25
0.11 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
-2.84%
30d:
-10.69%
90d:
-18.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PII trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -15.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PII trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -15.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.40
41.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $54.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.21 to $62.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (29.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.60, while resistance sits at $58.45.
Market Sentiment: PII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.71 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.60, while resistance sits at $58.45.
Market Sentiment: PII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.71 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$52.21 -
$62.36
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($66.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$52.21 -
$62.36
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.60
Resistance Level
$58.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.52
Wall Street Target
$66.71
(+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 29.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.72
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$43.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$39.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→29)
$66.00
(+22%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 89.3%)
$233.59
(+332%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 89.3%)
$182.69
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 89.3%)
$155.29
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 29.3
Stabilization Target:
$90.53
(+67.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+67.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin D Duke
SELL
10090 shares
2026-02-11
Michael T Speetzen
SELL
35086 shares
2026-02-11
James P Williams
SELL
5243 shares
2026-02-03
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