PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PII - Polaris Inc.

MISCELLANEOUS TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT
$54.25
0.11 (0.21%) ▲
5d: -2.84%
30d: -10.69%
90d: -18.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PII trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -15.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.40
41.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $54.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.21 to $62.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (29.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.60, while resistance sits at $58.45.

Market Sentiment: PII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.71 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $52.21 - $62.36
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($66.71)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $52.21 - $62.36
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $50.60
Resistance Level $58.45
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.52
Wall Street Target $66.71 (+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.6%
Profit Margin -6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.5 vs 29.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -15.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $48.72 (-10%)
2-Year Target $43.85 (-19%)
3-Year Target $39.46 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→29) $66.00 (+22%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 89.3%) $233.59 (+332%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 89.3%) $182.69 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 14.9, Growth: 89.3%) $155.29 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 29.3
Stabilization Target: $90.53 (+67.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +67.2%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin D Duke SELL 10090 shares 2026-02-11
Michael T Speetzen SELL 35086 shares 2026-02-11
James P Williams SELL 5243 shares 2026-02-03

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