PKOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PKOH - Park-Ohio Holdings Corp
$29.52
2.68 (9.99%)
▲
5d:
+12.67%
30d:
+23.93%
90d:
+32.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: PKOH is 8.2% above its trading range ($27.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: PKOH is 8.2% above its trading range ($27.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.42
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PKOH is currently trading at $29.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.09 to $27.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PKOH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+25.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PKOH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+25.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.09 -
$27.28
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+10.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.7% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Extended 8.2% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.09 -
$27.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.46
Resistance Level
$29.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.43
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 7.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.91
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$32.36
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$33.88
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.32
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$104.32
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 13.1%)
$42.69
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 13.1%)
$36.29
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$58.38
(+98%)
Analyst growth 97.7%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$53.07
(+80%)
Market implied 97.7%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$18.25
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 4:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PKOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Howard W Iv Hanna
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
Howard W Iv Hanna
SELL
2400 shares
2026-03-16
Ronna Romney
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-12
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