TRNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TRNO - Terreno Realty Corporation

REAL ESTATE
$65.05
-0.66 (-1.00%) ▼
5d: -1.75%
30d: -1.08%
90d: -1.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRNO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.95
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.39
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TRNO is currently trading at $65.05, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.76 to $66.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 42.6) is in line with its historical norms (41.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $64.76 - $66.45
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.12)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $64.76 - $66.45
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $64.11
Resistance Level $67.20
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 42.60
Wall Street Target $70.12 (+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.2%
Profit Margin 86.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 42.6 vs 41.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $65.64 (+1%)
2-Year Target $66.23 (+2%)
3-Year Target $66.82 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 43→42) PE COMPRESSION $65.10 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 42.6, Growth: 6.2%) $77.87 (+20%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 6.2%) $40.35 (-38%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 6.2%) $34.30 (-47%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case $36.14 (-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case $32.85 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case $44.68 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 10:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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