PR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PR - Permian Resources Corporation
$18.20
0.27 (1.51%)
▲
5d:
-3.5%
30d:
-7.71%
90d:
-11.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.05
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.14
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $18.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.54 to $19.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.58 (+40.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.58 (+40.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.54 -
$19.67
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.5% below Wall St target ($25.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.54 -
$19.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.87
Resistance Level
$20.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.58
Wall Street Target
$25.58
(+40.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.7%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 11.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.38
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.74
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.27
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$18.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$59.40
(+226%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 8.7%)
$23.39
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 8.7%)
$19.88
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$39.45
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$35.86
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$12.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.04
(+37.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Quinn
SELL
512429 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
7750 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
5250 shares
2026-03-17
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