PR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PR - Permian Resources Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$20.84
0.64 (3.17%) ▲
5d: +5.68%
30d: +2.06%
90d: +20.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.77
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.45
11.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $20.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.90 to $21.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.61, while resistance sits at $22.68. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+22.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $19.90 - $21.45
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.4% below Wall St target ($25.50)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.90 - $21.45
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.61
Resistance Level $22.68
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.16
Wall Street Target $25.50 (+22.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.7%
Profit Margin 12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.2 vs 12.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.44 (-7%)
2-Year Target $18.14 (-13%)
3-Year Target $16.93 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→13) $20.82 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.2%) $63.93 (+207%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 12.2%) $29.44 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: 12.2%) $25.02 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case $44.44 (+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case $40.40 (+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case $13.74 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 12.5
Stabilization Target: $25.64 (+23.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +23.0%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Quinn SELL 512429 shares 2026-03-18
Aron Marquez SELL 7750 shares 2026-03-18
Aron Marquez SELL 5250 shares 2026-03-17

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