PRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRDO - Perdoceo Education Corporation
$34.43
1.18 (3.55%)
▲
5d:
+4.4%
30d:
+3.52%
90d:
-8.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.14
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRDO is currently trading at $34.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.32 to $34.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRDO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRDO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.32 -
$34.22
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($44.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.32 -
$34.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.03
Resistance Level
$35.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.31
Wall Street Target
$44.00
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.68
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$33.31
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$34.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$90.11
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$42.65
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$36.25
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.62
Bull Case
$46.63
(+35%)
Analyst growth 27.5%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$42.39
(+23%)
Market implied 27.5%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$22.61
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$35.74
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRDO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Greg E Jansen
SELL
30158 shares
2026-04-06
Ashish R Ghia
SELL
11089 shares
2026-03-25
Todd S Nelson
SELL
4387 shares
2026-03-25
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