PRIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation
$148.25
-4.22 (-2.77%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: PRIM shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 16th percentile) and market pricing in only 5.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: PRIM shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 16th percentile) and market pricing in only 5.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$166.90
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.63
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $148.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.88 to $148.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.1) compared to its historical average (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $143.36, while resistance sits at $155.19.
Market Sentiment: PRIM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $143.36, while resistance sits at $155.19.
Market Sentiment: PRIM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$127.88 -
$148.58
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
16th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($152.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.3% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$127.88 -
$148.58
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.98
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$143.36
Resistance Level
$155.19
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.11
Wall Street Target
$152.86
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.7%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
26.1 vs 22.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$160.55
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$169.06
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$178.02
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$152.71
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.1, Growth: 6.0%)
$181.63
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.0%)
$155.11
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.0%)
$131.84
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.06
Bull Case
$189.29
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.4%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$172.08
(+16%)
Market implied 15.4%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case
$101.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Terry D Mccallister
BUY
12 shares
2025-10-15
Jeremy Kinch
SELL
3006 shares
2025-09-15
Michael E Ching
SELL
2935 shares
2025-09-11
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Advanced PRIM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PRIM price and gamma walls.
