PRIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation

WATER, SEWER, PIPELINE, COMM & POWER LINE CONSTRUCTION
$134.51
-8.99 (-6.26%) ▼
5d: -5.67%
30d: -10.76%
90d: +4.14%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your PRIM Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

PRIM is up 3.5% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $120 2026-04-17 with 152 OI. Put ratio: 93% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PRIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.46
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.82
8.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $134.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $134.84 to $154.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $133.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: PRIM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.57 (+18.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $134.84 - $154.68
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($169.57)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $134.84 - $154.68
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$11.28 (8.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $133.92
Resistance Level $151.09
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.32
Wall Street Target $169.57 (+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.9%
Profit Margin 3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.3 vs 23.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $139.77 (-3%)
2-Year Target $136.14 (-5%)
3-Year Target $132.60 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→23) $143.66 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.6%) $220.79 (+54%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: 13.6%) $210.15 (+46%)
Bear: (PE: 18.1, Growth: 13.6%) $178.63 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case $204.33 (+43%)
Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case $185.76 (+30%)
Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case $94.40 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 23.1
Stabilization Target: $155.48 (+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.3%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-02-18
Terry D Mccallister BUY 12 shares 2026-01-15
John P Schauerman SELL 7815 shares 2025-12-11

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Advanced PRIM Option Strategies

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