Is PTON stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PTON is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: PTON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of PTON stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PTON to be between $5.84 and $6.58. The current price is $5.59.

What is the analyst price target for PTON?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PTON is $10.43. This implies a potential upside of 82.0% from current levels.

PTON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PTON - Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SPORTING & ATHLETIC GOODS, NEC

$5.59

-0.14 (-2.44%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PTON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PTON is currently trading at $5.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.84 to $6.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.2) is in line with its historical norms (32.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PTON is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PTON has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.43 (+82.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $5.84 - $6.58

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 82.0% below Wall St target ($10.43)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $5.84 - $6.58

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.56

Resistance Level $6.70

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.20

Wall Street Target $10.43 (+82.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.0%

Profit Margin -4.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 29.2 vs 32.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $5.56 (-3%)

2-Year Target $5.39 (-6%)

3-Year Target $5.23 (-9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→32) $5.73 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 29.2, Growth: 33.3%) $13.57 (+137%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 33.3%) $10.36 (+81%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 33.3%) $8.81 (+54%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.2 to 32.0

Stabilization Target: $6.28 (+9.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +9.6%

Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM

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Technical Signals Check

Is PTON showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Charles Peter Kirol SELL 8989 shares 2025-10-22

Charles Peter Kirol SELL 3596 shares 2025-10-20

Charles Peter Kirol SELL 20554 shares 2025-10-16

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