QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc
$200.08
-13.09 (-6.14%)
▼
5d:
-1.22%
30d:
+50.38%
90d:
+44.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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23 traders called QCOM this week
85% bullish • 4 bearish
85% bullish • 4 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QCOM trades at premium valuation expecting 12.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: QCOM trades at premium valuation expecting 12.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.89
Based on 1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $200.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.35 to $193.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.79, while resistance sits at $247.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: QCOM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $174.84. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.79, while resistance sits at $247.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: QCOM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $174.84. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$126.35 -
$193.37
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QCOM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.6% above Wall St target ($174.84)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 12.3% growth expectation is conservative given 173% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.35 -
$193.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.79
Resistance Level
$247.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.81
Wall Street Target
$174.84
(-12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
173.0%
Profit Margin
22.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.3% premium
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 13.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$224.69
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$252.33
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$283.36
(+42%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$200.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -1.1%)
$226.83
(+13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: -1.1%)
$193.61
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: -1.1%)
$136.88
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.42
Bull Case
$264.74
(+32%)
Analyst growth 12.9%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$240.68
(+20%)
Market implied 12.9%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$144.96
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Akash J Palkhiwala
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-13
Patricia Y Grech
SELL
85 shares
2026-04-02
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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