REG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REG - Regency Centers Corporation
$72.87
0.89 (1.24%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.38
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REG is currently trading at $72.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.01 to $70.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.8) is in line with its historical norms (28.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: REG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.40 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: REG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.40 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$69.01 -
$70.84
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.01 -
$70.84
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.48
Resistance Level
$72.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.79
Wall Street Target
$79.40
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
29.8 vs 28.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.84
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$73.72
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$74.60
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.8, Growth: 4.5%)
$82.24
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.5%)
$61.57
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 4.5%)
$52.33
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.18
Bull Case
$85.89
(+18%)
Analyst growth 10.8%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$78.09
(+7%)
Market implied 10.8%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$47.91
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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