REPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REPX - Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
$36.89
0.51 (1.40%)
▲
5d:
+10.98%
30d:
+4.0%
90d:
+32.89%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When REPX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: REPX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.4% annual earnings decline despite 686% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: REPX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.4% annual earnings decline despite 686% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.77
36.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REPX is currently trading at $36.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.30 to $38.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 686.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$34.30 -
$38.03
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.9% below Wall St target ($48.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.30 -
$38.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.23
Resistance Level
$37.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.42
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+31.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
686.0%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.32
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$30.52
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$27.96
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$36.72
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 40.0%)
$498.29
(+1270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: 40.0%)
$99.84
(+174%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 40.0%)
$84.87
(+133%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.87
Bull Case
$80.00
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$72.73
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$24.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$47.78
(+31.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is REPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Corey Neil Riley
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-12
Bobby Riley
SELL
12500 shares
2026-02-10
Bobby Riley
SELL
20000 shares
2025-12-19
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$141 | 62 BUY |
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$228 | 62 BUY |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$132 | 62 BUY |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 59 HOLD |
|
EOG
EOG Resources Inc |
BUY
33 analysts |
$157 | 59 HOLD |
