REPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REPX - Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
$32.51
0.19 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
-0.88%
30d:
-9.79%
90d:
-8.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: REPX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: REPX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.39
39.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REPX is currently trading at $32.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.97 to $35.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (5.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 686.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+47.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+47.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.97 -
$35.48
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.6% below Wall St target ($48.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.97 -
$35.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.06
Resistance Level
$36.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.98
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+47.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
686.0%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 5.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.39
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$32.30
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.1%)
$401.34
(+1135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 31.1%)
$73.26
(+125%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 31.1%)
$62.27
(+92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.87
Bull Case
$71.10
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$64.64
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$21.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 5.4
Stabilization Target:
$44.16
(+35.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is REPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Corey Neil Riley
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-12
Bobby Riley
SELL
12500 shares
2026-02-10
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