REXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REXR - REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY, INC.
$35.18
0.44 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
-1.98%
30d:
-4.94%
90d:
-6.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: REXR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: REXR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.75
Based on -10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REXR is currently trading at $35.18, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.42 to $36.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.2) is in line with its historical norms (37.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.94 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.94 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$34.42 -
$36.50
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.42 -
$36.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.53
Resistance Level
$36.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.25
Wall Street Target
$39.94
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
23.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
37.3 vs 37.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.81
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$34.88
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$34.95
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.3, Growth: -25.5%)
$25.33
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: -25.5%)
$15.00
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: -25.5%)
$12.75
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$38.48
(+11%)
Analyst growth -0.8%, PE expands to 41.3
Base Case
$34.98
(+1%)
Market implied -0.8%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$23.98
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael S Frankel
SELL
23132 shares
2026-03-17
David P Stockert
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-27
Laura E Clark
BUY
5310 shares
2026-02-27
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