RGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RGR - Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.
$36.69
-0.36 (-0.97%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
Get Alerted When RGR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.62
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.57
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RGR is currently trading at $36.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.65 to $38.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$33.65 -
$38.02
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($44.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.65 -
$38.02
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.15
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.18
Resistance Level
$38.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.30
Wall Street Target
$44.50
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
138.1%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.12
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$39.23
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$40.37
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is RGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher John Killoy
SELL
8776 shares
2025-09-22
Christopher John Killoy
SELL
1224 shares
2025-09-19
Bruce T Pettet
BUY
500 shares
2025-08-11
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$258 | 54 HOLD |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$247 | 57 HOLD |
|
LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$364 | 58 HOLD |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1622 | 65 BUY |
|
RTX
Raytheon Technologies Co… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$203 | 64 BUY |
Advanced RGR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RGR price and gamma walls.
