RIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RIG - Transocean LTD.
$5.06
0.19 (3.90%)
▲
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
-19.04%
90d:
-22.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
Get Alerted When RIG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RIG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RIG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.16
38.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RIG is currently trading at $5.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.21 to $6.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (34.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: RIG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.30 (+24.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: RIG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.30 (+24.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.21 -
$6.22
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($6.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.21 -
$6.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.81
Resistance Level
$6.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.75
Wall Street Target
$6.30
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
-66.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 34.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.55
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.10
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.69
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→34)
$6.75
(+33%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 94.9%)
$19.83
(+292%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 94.9%)
$17.08
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 94.9%)
$14.52
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 34.3
Stabilization Target:
$9.25
(+82.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+82.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 3:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is RIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Roderick James Mackenzie
SELL
78370 shares
2026-03-04
Keelan Adamson
SELL
58687 shares
2026-01-27
Keelan Adamson
SELL
22846 shares
2026-01-26
Top Rated Oil & Gas Drilling Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Drilling by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SDRL
Seadrill Limited |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$56 | 52 HOLD |
|
PDS
Precision Drilling Corpo… |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$101 | 53 HOLD |
|
PTEN
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc |
BUY
15 analysts |
$13 | 55 HOLD |
|
NE
Noble Corporation plc |
BUY
11 analysts |
$50 | 55 HOLD |
|
SOC
Sable Offshore Corp. |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$27 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced RIG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RIG price and gamma walls.
