WD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WD - Walker & Dunlop, Inc.
$54.55
-0.37 (-0.67%)
▼
5d:
+2.92%
30d:
+9.52%
90d:
+23.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.20
23.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WD is currently trading at $54.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.10 to $53.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 471.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.33 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.33 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.10 -
$53.61
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($67.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.10 -
$53.61
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.37
Resistance Level
$54.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.36
Wall Street Target
$67.33
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
471.1%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.24
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$51.96
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$50.72
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$54.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.3%)
$261.90
(+380%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 27.3%)
$112.51
(+106%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 27.3%)
$95.64
(+75%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$120.82
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$109.84
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$37.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$58.88
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Dana L Schmaltz
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-18
Ernest Michael Freedman
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-05
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