RLGT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RLGT - Radiant Logistics, Inc.

ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO
$6.92
0.07 (1.02%) โ–ฒ
5d: -0.86%
30d: -6.74%
90d: +6.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

RLGT is up 4.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $7.5 2026-06-18 with 4,670 OI. Put ratio: 96% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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๐Ÿ’ก
Bottom Line:
๐Ÿ’ก BUY OPPORTUNITY: RLGT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.67
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.14
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RLGT is currently trading at $6.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.86 to $7.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RLGT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.66, while resistance sits at $7.27.

Market Sentiment: RLGT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.83 (+29.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $6.86 - $7.39
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($8.83)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with -12.3% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.86 - $7.39
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ยฑ$0.29 (4.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.66
Resistance Level $7.27
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.19
Wall Street Target $8.83 (+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.4%
Profit Margin 1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 20.2 vs 18.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.05 (+3%)
2-Year Target $7.25 (+6%)
3-Year Target $7.46 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20โ†’19) PE COMPRESSION $6.84 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -1.5%) $7.25 (+6%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.5%) $6.54 (-5%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: -1.5%) $5.56 (-19%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case $8.71 (+25%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case $7.92 (+13%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case $4.60 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
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